U.S. Economy Stable at Moderate Risk β But Households Still Fragile
The eSNAP dashboard shows steady growth and controlled inflation, but rising debt and weak savings highlight household financial stress.
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By The eSNAP TeamSeptember 30, 2025
Daily Economic Snapshot β Sep 30, 2025
Economic Health Score: 68/100 (Moderate Risk)
Trend: β Stable
π Key Numbers Today
- GDP Growth: 3.8% (above trend, but projected to cool)
- Unemployment: 4.3% (steady, slight decline expected next year)
- Inflation: 2.9% (near Fed target, stable outlook)
- Housing: 30-year mortgage rate at 6.3% (+0.6% this quarter)
- Debt: Credit card balances at $1.31T (+0.8%)
- Savings: Personal savings rate flat at 4.6%
π§ What Stands Out
- Household Fragility Score is just 55/100. Families are spending but relying more on credit.
- Housing affordability remains the biggest weak spot β with housing scoring 45/100.
- Markets are calm (low volatility), but history shows calm often precedes shocks.
π‘ What This Means For You
- Homebuyers: With rates still high, consider patience or alternative financing options.
- Families: Flat savings rates mean fewer buffers β set up an automated transfer to build cushion.
- Borrowers: Record debt makes paying down credit cards urgent.
- Investors: Donβt get complacent; use calm markets to rebalance and hedge.
π Final Thought
The economy looks steady at the macro level β but the household data tells another story. Growth and stability are masking financial strain in everyday budgets.
π Check the full live dashboard at eSNAP.io for todayβs numbers.